Nfl Bets This Week

The ultimate resource to help you find the best bets each day in NFL football.

For example, in Week 9, we eeked out a winning week. That's apparently what we needed to catch fire in Week 10 because last week's picks went 7-2 with an outright moneyline winner. NFL Week 11 Best Bets. There are three common NFL betting lines: the side, total and moneyline. Side: The side refers to the point spread. While the odds can fluctuate, most sides are -110, meaning you have to bet $110.

Here you will find a list of our best NFL bets against the spread. This page will be updated several times over the weekend.

The NFL season is cruising (sort of) along. There's been some hiccups, and you never really know when a team could get shut down due to COVID-19, but we're here for week eight, and the picks are. NFL Odds & NFL Betting lines this week. NFL odds and NFL Betting lines this week are set almost right after the previous week’s matches have concluded. Sportsbooks take the most recent performances into consideration when setting the lines, and will look to go live soon after each game week.

The page is divided into 4 simple sections.

The first section lists all of our premium member best bets for the day. This section lists all the games for all sports, including NFL. If you don't have a membership at Doc's Sports then you can test out our premium best bets risk free with a complimentary free $60 account here.

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The second section lists a couple of our complimentary NFL best bet matchup reports. We write these for every single NFL game. These articles are more for the do-it-yourself types that want to really dig in and also have the time do the extensive research required each day.

The third section ties into the second section where our experts give advice on what to do with the information and how to spot a best bet in NFL.

NFL Best Bets Tonight [Updated daily]

TODAY'S TOP PLAYS

VERNON CROY is also a remarkable 23-12 +5,620 with his last 35 top CBB plays rated 5-Units or higher this season and he is ready to crush the books with his 7-Unit CBB Play (8:00 pm) that goes Wednesday night. Croy is the top CBB expert this season up over +6,000 so get on it now! Can you get on this play fast enough?!

Free Best Nfl Bets This Week

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Sign up for one of the above best NFL expert picks here. If you are not ready to sign up for one of our top NFL plays, below you will find a free NFL pick and matchup report. You can get free NFL picks weekly for every game here.

Complimentary NFL games for today [Updated daily]

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction, 2/7/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, Super Bowl
by Tony Sink - 1/26/2021

The Kansas City Chiefs hit the road to take on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium (6:30 PM EST). The expected starters at QB are Patrick Mahomes for the Chiefs and Tom Brady for the Buccaneers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Green Bay Packers Prediction, 1/24/2021 NFL Pick, Tips and Odds, NFC Championship
by Tony Sink - 1/19/2021

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers take on the Green Bay Packers at Lambeau Field (3:05 PM EST). The quarterbacks expected to start the game are Tom Brady for the Buccaneers and Aaron Rodgers for the Packers. This matchup report includes NFL odds, predictions, and a free pick against the spread. Read More >>

What Makes a Best Bet in NFL? [Updated during the season]

NFL Best Bet Tipsters

Top 10 Tips

NFL Football Best Bets Advice

Doc's Sports

Bet teams off embarrassing losses…

Robert Ferringo

Locate misleading final scores…

Raphael Esparza

Ride the hot teams all the way…

Strike Point Sports

Look for the short home favorite…

Allen Eastman

You have to be able to set lines…

Jason Sharpe

Injuries are an important factor…

Doug Upstone

QB play, scheduling and injuries…

Alan Harris

Best against the public for big plays…

Vernon Croy

Best bets should have the best value…

Tony George

Bet on numbers, not games…

Doc's Sports Service is the most trusted and well-respected sports information company in the United States. Below you will find a list of 10 tips for finding an NFL best bet each week from 10 of the top NFL Football handicapping experts in the country. Our service is second-to-none in terms of both results and customer relations. With nearly 50 years of handicapping experience, Doc's Sports is the gold standard in the sports information industry.

We offer our clients top NFL Football predictions at one fair price. Our NFL Football handicappers release a full slate of NFL Football picks at 6 p.m. EST each Thursday throughout the season. Every one of our NFL Football handicappers has a different style, but all have enjoyed vast success, including putting up some big numbers with their weekly best bets and top games, available every week for just $30 apiece.

Here are 10 tips from our NFL handicappers on how to find an NFL best bet each week:

DOC'S SPORTS – An NFL best bet for me is a team that is coming off an embarrassing performance the week before. All NFL players are paid professionals and have pride and do not like to be blown out on television. Therefore, I like to play a team that got blown out the week before. The oddsmakers usually inflate the spread because they public saw how bad they looked the week prior. An example of this from 2016 is a Week 2 game between Seattle and Los Angeles. The Rams opened up on Monday Night Football at San Francisco and lost 28-0 in embarrassing fashion. They were a +5.5-point home underdog the following week against Seattle and won that game straight up by a score of 9-3.

ROBERT FERRINGO – When I am handicapping, regardless of sport, I think it is important not to just look at what happened but why and how it happened. There are so many misleading scores in the NFL each week that it is crucial to go back and re-watch games and analyze box scores to find those 'hidden plays' that may have had an outsized impact on a game. There are also several statistics that I use that correlate total yardage, yardage differential, scoring and both ATS and over/under performance. And when I see statistical outliers I just know that a best bet is coming. For example, in 2017 one of my biggest totals bets of the year came in Week 10 on the 'over' between Jacksonville and Houston. This total wasn't on anyone's radar, but I was all over it for my NFL best bet that weekend. The Jaguars had rung up 450 yards and 25 first downs the week before against a tough Chiefs defense. But they only scored 14 points because of three fumbles, an INT, a missed field goal and a dropped touchdown pass. They had been averaging around 370 yards per game but just 17 points in their previous four games, so I just knew they were destined to put some points on the board. Sure enough, that game went 'over' the total and kicked off a stretch where the Jaguars went 5-2 against the total and they closed the season going 7-3 on the 'over' in their last 10 games. You can't just look at final scores. You have to analyze how things played out, and that will help you determine what results are legit and which ones were flukes. And then bet the next week accordingly.

RAPHAEL ESPARZA - What I have noticed in the NFL both behind the counter and now in front of the counter is that your NFL best bets should be on hot teams until they are no longer hot. Ask any Vegas or online sportsbook director, and in 2016 the books struggled with the New England Patriots, Dallas Cowboys and the Oakland Raiders repeatedly covering point spreads. And I'm not even talking about moneyline parlays, teasers, and the hot teams that covered the totals. Normally the NFL oddsmakers are really good on Sunday, but every year there is between 1-3 teams that every Sunday the books do not want to see win and cover games. Find out those teams and ride them and you will cash straight bets, moneyline parlays and of course your top plays of the week.

STRIKE POINT SPORTS- A handicapper doesn't want to try to find a best bet each and every week because they just aren't always there. Strike Point Sports prides itself on careful, strategic selections, and this proves beneficial when finding the 'big play' or 'best bet of the week'. We tend to lean towards a home team that is getting less than three points. In many cases when two teams are even, Las Vegas will lay the field goal spread on the home team. When they set the line less than that there is value to be had, especially if it is a team that plays well in front of their home fans. Keep an eye out for the 'short home favorite' in the NFL when you're looking for a best bet. We all know the normal 3-point line on a home team, but we don't all realize the value on the short chalk. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here

ALLEN EASTMAN – If you want to be a good NFL handicapper, then you need to be able to think like an oddsmaker. I make my own spread for every single game. And then I compare my lines to the lines that the sportsbooks release. I look where there are the biggest differences, and those are the games I look at first. Of course, it helps when I also have the NFL 411 System, which is based on more than 90 different statistics. It is very detailed, and that is why it is the only documented NFL system to hit better than 60 percent for the past 11 years while producing more than +$25,000 in profit. When I am looking for a best bet, I look to the NFL 411 System. But if you don't have these plays then your best bet each week should be on the play where there is the biggest difference between your spread and the spread the books have out. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here

JASON SHARPE - The reason why the NFL is considered the toughest sport to win at betting-wise is because information in this sport is everywhere. So trying to look at the stats, watch the games, and paying attention to final scores isn't enough to give someone an edge in this sport. The key is to focus on the one area that the NFL betting markets don't place a big enough emphasis on, and that area is with injuries. The NFL is the sport that deals the most with game-to-game injuries. Being on top of this is where one can find their biggest edges overall as an NFL bettor. I'm not talking about well-known injuries to quarterbacks, but instead look at the guys that most folks don't pay attention to like offensive lineman or guys in the secondary. It's not just about who's out of a particular game for a team, either, but also how good/bad the guy replacing them is also and how big of a drop-off overall there is from player to player. Just as important as that is knowing which guys are now back in the lineup from a recent injury and that effects the team compared to how they played when he is out with an injury. Last year on October 30 I won my 7-Unit NFL total on 'over' in the Washington/Cincinnati game. Both teams had been missing their All-Pro level tight ends of late but both were expected to be back in this one and at full strength. There were a lot of examples of both teams offenses struggling without those two guys on the field earlier in the year, and both coaches had stated how valuable both guys were not only because of how good they are but also because there wasn't another player on their rosters who could bring what these two had brought to their respective teams. Both guys had a huge impact in this contest as they each caught nine passes in the game and helped open up their team's offense, which in turn pushed this game 'over' the total. You have to keep very good notes on players injuries and the effects on their team, and if you do so you can gain a big edge in a sport that doesn't have as many big edges. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here

DOUG UPSTONE - The methodology I use is by starting to create a spread based on three power ratings I use. They all have various components, designed to cover different aspects of the teams in a particular contest. Next, is the statistical advantages one team might have over another, particularly at quarterback, running the ball, stopping the run and rushing the opposing quarterback. If those show up as more one-way edges and match my power rankings, I move to the next step. That would be finding systems I have developed and look to find more evidence of a special play, and specifically I'm after ones that have a 75 percent or higher cover rate and with a minimum of 30 game outcomes and the scoring average rather easily covers the spread. Up next is reviewing situational aspects, that are team specific, which often can be nuggets of extremely useful information. The cherry on the top of the cake is looking at line movement or the lack of it in the first part of the week. If the power ratings are strong, the stats are in my favor, a system or two light up, and the situation is nicely favorable on the NFL contest that is not on everyone's radar to start a week, that is what I'm looking for in a big play!

ALAN HARRIS - Working in various Las Vegas sportsbooks for eight years has shown me firsthand that you have to bet against the public when making a big move. Information is now readily available on the web that wasn't around even five years ago, and it's fairly easy to find out what the public is on at various offshore sportsbooks. This info isn't as readily available for the Vegas books, so still having a few connections there certainly doesn't hurt things on our end. It's been noted for those that are behind the counter that if you just bet against the top five teams that the public has put into parlays by closing time on Saturday night, you'd come out ahead at the end of the season. Now, like any system, this isn't foolproof, but being on the side the house needs, especially in the NFL, is never a bad thing. In 2016, we used this theory to perfection in hitting our 8-Unit NFL Playoff Game of the Year with the Packers +5.5 on the road at Dallas in the Divisional Round. Dallas opened up as a 3.5-point favorite, and the books couldn't get a bet on the Packers. We already liked Green Bay, and talking to a few sports book managers around town just confirmed it. We cashed this one with the Packers winning outright, 34-31, advancing to the NFC Championship.

VERNON CROY- A best bet for me in the NFL must fall into one of my top systems. I almost always want to see a line where I feel there is exceptional value. So say the Bears are favored by three points, and my analytics have them winning by 14 points, then there is exceptional line value with the Bears at -3 since the line is off by 11 points. Generally I also want the top play to be going against public perception, as there is added value, especially in the NFL. I want all top plays to have a high percentage of winning regardless of the sport. I have been very successful in the NFL with my top plays because of my 19 years of experience, and I learn from my losses and build on wins.

TONY GEORGE – More so than other sports, you bet numbers in the NFL, not games. In all sports the number is important. However the NFL system I use is power ratings measured against the Las Vegas line based on numerous criteria. When I have an overlay against the spread of more than five points and up to six points, then I will make it my NFL best bet of the weekend. And any numbers bigger than that, which is very rare, I will triple up the normal wager for a huge play. In 2016 I had the Steelers at the Browns laying eight with an overlay of six points. That means my power rating between Pittsburgh and Cleveland was 14 points. That was my Game of the Year in 2016. Your average overlay is around three or four points, if that. Pittsburgh won 24-9, which was by 15 points, so my power rating was off just one point. It is all about the numbers and power ratings in the NFL. Get $60 in free member picks - no obligation - click here

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DENVER, COLORADO – NOVEMBER 22: Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa #1 of the Miami Dolphins hands off the Matt Breida #22 during the third quarter against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field At Mile High on November 22, 2020 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images)

The Browns and Saints are among the five best bets in the NFL this week.

There are just six weeks left in the NFL season, and for the first time since Week 3, all 32 teams will be in action in Week 12. Thanksgiving brings with it three games on Thursday to go along with a full Sunday slate of action, giving bettors plenty of opportunities to make some money on the NFL.

As always, FanSided is here to lay out the five best bets of the week for interested gamblers. All lines referenced in this story are provided courtesy of the FanDuel Sportsbook.

5. NFL Week 12 best bets: Miami Dolphins -6.5

Sunday certainly wasn't a great day for the Dolphins, who saw their five-game winning streak come to an end with a 20-13 loss in Denver. Tua Tagovailoa got benched due to poor performance, leaving Ryan Fitzpatrick to try and salvage a win before throwing a crucial interception on Miami's final drive.

Sure nfl bets this week

Entering Week 12 at 6-4, Miami is in desperate need of a win, and they will get a good palate cleanser in the form of a trip to the Meadowlands to take on the 0-10 Jets. New York has played better in the past few weeks but has still managed to come up short, needing a strong second half from Joe Flacco to cover against the Los Angeles Chargers on Sunday.

The Dolphins are laying 6.5 points in this game, a number they should easily cover against a team they shut out 24-0 in Week 6. The Jets are starting a collection of rookies and retreads in the secondary so this is a good week for Tagovailoa to get his confidence back in a game Miami will win by double-digits.

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Sure Nfl Bets This Week

CHARLOTTE, NORTH CAROLINA – NOVEMBER 15: Tom Brady #12 of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers celebrates after a 98-yard touchdown

Nfl Bets This Week 12

run by Ronald Jones II #27 during their NFL game against the Carolina Panthers at Bank of America Stadium on November 15, 2020, in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Grant Halverson/Getty Images)

4. NFL Week 12 best bets: Tampa Bay Buccaneers +3

Seeing a good team getting points at home is a very appealing prospect for bettors and 2020 is no exception. Going on the road isn't easy in a normal year but the intense travel protocols due to the coronavirus pandemic have made life that much harder for a visiting team, making any chance to get a home underdog worth considering.

That is certainly the case here with the Buccaneers, who enter the week as three-point underdogs at home to the Kansas City Chiefs. Despite having a 9-1 record the Chiefs showed some vulnerability on Sunday night, struggling to get by the Las Vegas Raiders in a 35-31 victory.

This could be just a Raiders-specific issue for Kansas City but the matchups did highlight some vulnerabilities in the Chiefs' defense. Derek Carr and company managed to put up 71 points on the Chiefs this season, failing to complete the sweep thanks to some issues defensively.

Weekend

The Buccaneers have a much better defense and feature Tom Brady under center, giving them a quarterback capable of going score-for-score with Patrick Mahomes all day long. That is a huge edge for Tampa Bay, which just needs to win to cover this number, so grab the points with the Buccaneers for good measure.

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EAST RUTHERFORD, NEW JERSEY – NOVEMBER 15: Darius Slayton #86 of the New York Giants carries the ball as Darius Slay #24 of the Philadelphia Eagles defends during the second half at MetLife Stadium on November 15, 2020, in East Rutherford, New Jersey. (Photo by Elsa/Getty Images)

3. NFL Week 12 best bets: New York Giants -5.5

Things have certainly looked up in New York over the past few weeks for the Giants. The bye week was a success for New York as the Eagles lost again in Cleveland, cutting their margin over the Giants to just a half-game in the division.

A modest two-game winning streak may not mean much in most of the NFL, but in the pathetic NFC East, it makes the Giants the hottest team around. The good vibes could carry over to Cincinnati, where New York is favored by 5.5 points on the road.

Betting on the Giants on the road to cover more than a three-point spread would ordinarily be dicey but the Bengals just lost Joe Burrow for the season with a major knee injury. Ryan Finley is now under center for Cincinnati and didn't look inspiring in his work on Sunday, throwing for just 30 yards in the second half of a loss to the Washington Football Team.

This game is all but gift-wrapped for the Giants to win easily against a bad opponent on the road. New York has played competitive football all season long and should snag their first non-divisional win all year in convincing fashion on Sunday.

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NEW ORLEANS, LOUISIANA – NOVEMBER 22: Taysom Hill #7 of the New Orleans Saints passes in the first quarter against the Atlanta Falcons at Mercedes-Benz Superdome on November 22, 2020, in New Orleans, Louisiana. (Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images)

2. NFL Week 12 best bets: New Orleans Saints -5.5

No Drew Brees, no problem for the Saints in Week 12. Despite a ton of internet prognostications of doom over Sean Payton's decision to start Taysom Hill over Jameis Winston New Orleans cruised to an easy victory over the Atlanta Falcons.

Hill wasn't immaculate as a passer but he did more than enough to move the offense without making key mistakes. The running game was a huge factor as the Saints rushed 36 times for 168 yards and three touchdowns while the defense held the Falcons to just 248 yards of total offense.

The oddsmakers have installed New Orleans as 5.5-point favorites on the road against the Denver Broncos, who got into the win column on Sunday by topping Miami 20-13. The victory was nice but Denver wasn't extremely impressive offensively, relying on their defense to shut down a struggling rookie quarterback in Tua Tagovailoa.

New Orleans is a totally different beast with a smothering defense that has allowed just 25 points over its past three games while becoming a power running team to compensate for Brees' absence. This game won't be close so lay the points with confidence with the Saints.

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CLEVELAND, OHIO – NOVEMBER 22: Adrian Clayborn #94 of the Cleveland Browns celebrates after a sack during the first half against the Philadelphia Eagles at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 22, 2020, in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images)

1. NFL Week 12 best bets: Cleveland Browns -6.5

It is truly a sign that 2020 is a bizarre year when the Browns are the best bet of the week. It has been a much better year for Cleveland, which is 7-3 and poised to reach the playoffs for the first time since 2002.

The Browns aren't exactly a juggernaut but they are very good at two things: running the football and playing good defense. Those ingredients help explain why Cleveland is so efficient at dismantling bad teams like they did on Sunday, beating up the Philadelphia Eagles 22-17 in a game that wasn't as close as the final score indicated.

This week presents another bad team as the Browns hit the road to take on the 1-9 Jacksonville Jaguars, who have been forced to start rookie Jake Luton at quarterback with Gardner Minshew hurt. Cleveland is laying just 6.5 points in this matchup, which is an extremely manageable margin against a team that got demolished at home by the Steelers last Sunday.

Best Bets Nfl This Week

Laying less than a touchdown against a bad team is a solid play for a fundamentally sound football team like Cleveland. Take advantage of this opportunity with the Browns as the best bet in the NFL this week.

Last Week: 1-4/2-3

2020 Season: 33-22/34-21